Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.007835 0.008802 0.009859 0.011101 0.012525 0.014109 0.016011
2025-02-09 0.006231 0.007530 0.009070 0.011043 0.013521 0.016549 0.020564
2025-02-16 0.005419 0.006869 0.008685 0.011152 0.014449 0.018752 0.024876
2025-02-23 0.004746 0.006244 0.008205 0.010993 0.014913 0.020311 0.028457
2025-03-02 0.004333 0.005889 0.008003 0.011135 0.015741 0.022400 0.033007
2025-03-09 0.003932 0.005495 0.007688 0.011054 0.016203 0.023974 0.036965
2025-03-16 0.003495 0.004998 0.007167 0.010597 0.016024 0.024525 0.039350
2025-03-23 0.003230 0.004725 0.006938 0.010544 0.016443 0.026029 0.043473
2025-03-30 0.003129 0.004684 0.007050 0.011023 0.017754 0.029126 0.050776
2025-04-06 0.002855 0.004351 0.006677 0.010677 0.017642 0.029780 0.053743
2025-04-13 0.002625 0.004068 0.006356 0.010381 0.017575 0.030488 0.056889
2025-04-20 0.002475 0.003901 0.006209 0.010363 0.017989 0.032103 0.062037
2025-04-27 0.002414 0.003882 0.006316 0.010818 0.019354 0.035747 0.072105
2025-05-04 0.002267 0.003707 0.006144 0.010760 0.019756 0.037597 0.078744
2025-05-11 0.002160 0.003594 0.006068 0.010866 0.020482 0.040185 0.087487
2025-05-18 0.002026 0.003419 0.005867 0.010711 0.020663 0.041649 0.093868
2025-05-25 0.001945 0.003334 0.005820 0.010849 0.021457 0.044537 0.104260
2025-06-01 0.001841 0.003199 0.005671 0.010770 0.021780 0.046416 0.112467
2025-06-08 0.001700 0.002986 0.005358 0.010327 0.021260 0.046287 0.115352
2025-06-15 0.001618 0.002879 0.005239 0.010275 0.021605 0.048244 0.124334
2025-06-22 0.001603 0.002895 0.005360 0.010741 0.023181 0.053421 0.143608
2025-06-29 0.001499 0.002735 0.005121 0.010405 0.022843 0.053749 0.148603
2025-07-06 0.001408 0.002594 0.004912 0.010117 0.022591 0.054268 0.154313